Troyes v AS Monaco
Ligue 1 - Saturday, May 19th, 8.00 pm BST
Needing a win to qualify for the relegation play-off, Troyes would probably not choose Monaco as their last opponents of the season.
While they fought for a good point at Montpellier last time around, is it too little too late? They must better Toulouse’s result against Guingamp to have any chance of staving off relegation for a little while yet.
Monaco, meanwhile, need the points to ensure they finish runners-up to Paris Saint-Germain and ensure they are in the Champions League. The nightmare scenario is defeat here while Marseille and Lyon both win, relegating the Monegasque to the Europa League.
There is plenty to play for on the banks of the Seine.
They may hail from the Champagne region of France but there has been precious little bubbly football from Troyes this season.
One win in 12 (D3, L8) is relegation form and that’s where Troyes find themselves. They are enjoying a rare mini-revival with one defeat in three (W1, D1).
At home, it’s one win in five (D1, L3) with the last two matches featuring over 3.5 goals. Prior to that, Troyes had gone three without scoring and eight games where at least one side failed to score.
No clean sheets in the last four at Stade de l’Aube is no surprise with Paris Saint-Germain, Nice and Marseille among the visitors. Theirs has been a hellish run-in with four of the top six visiting Troyes.
They are missing just two players: Tristan Dingome and Stephane Darbion.
Monaco come into the match with an awful injury list offsetting their good form. The deposed Ligue Un champions are unbeaten in 20 of their last 22 Ligue Un matches (W14, D6).
Back-to-back wins over Caen and Saint-Etienne ended a stumble of three without a win (D1, L2) which began with the 7 – 1 hammering at Paris Saint-Germain.
On the road, it’s one win in four (D1, L2) in a run of ten matches, of which eight saw more than 2.5 goals. Seven of those eight featured over 3.5 goals. The win at Caen was the first time in four games that Monaco were able to score over 1.5 goals.
Monaco are without the suspended Andrea Raggi while injury keeps Adama Traore, Diego Benaglio, Keita, Rachid Ghezzal, and Stevan Jovetic out. Jorge is a doubt but Radamel Falcao returned to training this week so should be back on the bench at the very least.
Their last four games saw at least one player sent off with Monaco suffering three of the five red cards.
Monaco earned their tag of favourites on merit, with second place all but assured. A point will do the trick and they should have enough wit to unlock Troyes.
Not that it can be taken for granted; Troyes have the fifth-worst goals against total in Ligue Un. Relegation can be pinned on a lack of goals; only Caen has scored fewer.
Monaco expect to win this, but it will be closer with Troyes capable of grabbing a point.
Correct Score Betting Tip, Troyes 0 - 2 AS Monaco @ odds of 9.25
1x2 Betting Tip, AS Monaco @ odds of 1.57
Over / Under Goals Betting Tip, Under 2.5 Goals @ odds of 2.35
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